SurelySo — weather guarantees, now available
Weather forecasts that pay when they're wrong
Get a clear daily forecast with a confidence score. If we miss, you automatically receive a credit — no claims, no hassle.
How it works
Simple as checking the weather — with a guarantee built in.
Subscribe
Choose your city and get a daily forecast with a built-in guarantee.
Get your forecast
Each morning, receive a clear prediction with a confidence score before it locks.
We stand behind it
If our forecast is wrong by objective rules, you automatically receive a credit.
Transparent resolution
Every outcome is verified against official weather station data and logged publicly.
Historical accuracy
We publish every forecast and outcome. Transparency is part of the product.
30-day accuracy
96 of 112 forecasts correct
Recent guarantees paid
Chicago
1.70 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Wednesday, Sep 30
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Tuesday, Sep 29
New York
0.08 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Friday, Sep 25
Chicago
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Monday, Sep 21
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Monday, Sep 21
Chicago
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Friday, Sep 18
Chicago
0.10 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Tuesday, Sep 15
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Monday, Sep 14
Chicago
0.01 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Sunday, Sep 13
Chicago
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Thursday, Sep 10
Los Angeles
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Monday, Sep 7
Los Angeles
0.63 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Sunday, Sep 6
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Friday, Sep 4
Chicago
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Friday, Sep 4
San Francisco
0.01 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Thursday, Sep 3
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Thursday, Sep 3
New York
0.55 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Tuesday, Sep 1
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Monday, Aug 31
New York
0.11 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Sunday, Aug 30
Chicago
0.13 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Sunday, Aug 30
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Friday, Aug 28
New York
0.64 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Thursday, Aug 27
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Monday, Aug 24
New York
2.64 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Sunday, Aug 23
New York
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Friday, Aug 21
New York
9.59 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Thursday, Aug 20
New York
0.46 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Tuesday, Aug 18
Chicago
0.36 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Tuesday, Aug 18
New York
0.11 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Sunday, Aug 16
Chicago
0.00 in observed — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Friday, Aug 14
San Francisco
0.01 in observed — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Friday, Aug 14
San Francisco
0.04 in rain recorded — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Wednesday, Aug 12
Chicago
Unexpected afternoon storm — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Monday, Aug 10
New York
Dry day — forecast was RAIN LIKELY
$5
Saturday, Aug 8
Los Angeles
0.02 in rain recorded — forecast was NO RAIN
$5
Thursday, Aug 6
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- Daily forecast with confidence score
- Automatic credits when we're wrong
- Fully transparent resolution