Every forecast is timestamped, locked before coverage, and resolved using official weather station data. Nothing is edited after the fact.
2 guarantees paid totaling $10 — all-time
San Francisco
Predicted NO RAIN at 85% confidence
≥0.01 in (0.25mm) precipitation at KSFO
San Francisco
Predicted NO RAIN at 87% confidence
≥0.01 in (0.25mm) precipitation at KSFO
San Francisco · Aug 14
NO RAIN · 92% confidence
Aug 13, 1:00 PM UTC
Los Angeles · Aug 14
NO RAIN · 94% confidence
Aug 13, 1:00 PM UTC
Chicago · Aug 14
NO RAIN · 86% confidence
Aug 13, 11:00 AM UTC
New York · Aug 14
RAIN LIKELY · 78% confidence
Aug 13, 10:00 AM UTC
San Francisco · Aug 13
NO RAIN · 88% confidence
Aug 12, 1:00 PM UTC
San Francisco · Aug 12
NO RAIN · 85% confidence
Aug 11, 1:00 PM UTC
$5 paid
San Francisco · Aug 11
NO RAIN · 91% confidence
Aug 10, 1:00 PM UTC
San Francisco · Aug 10
NO RAIN · 89% confidence
Aug 9, 1:00 PM UTC
San Francisco · Aug 4
NO RAIN · 87% confidence
Aug 3, 1:00 PM UTC
$5 paid
| Date | City | Forecast | Confidence | Issued | Outcome | Paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | San Francisco | NO RAIN | 92% | Aug 13, 1:00 PM UTC | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Los Angeles | NO RAIN | 94% | Aug 13, 1:00 PM UTC | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Chicago | NO RAIN | 86% | Aug 13, 11:00 AM UTC | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | New York | RAIN LIKELY | 78% | Aug 13, 10:00 AM UTC | pending | — |
| Aug 13 | San Francisco | NO RAIN | 88% | Aug 12, 1:00 PM UTC | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | San Francisco | NO RAIN | 85% | Aug 11, 1:00 PM UTC | incorrect | $5 |
| Aug 11 | San Francisco | NO RAIN | 91% | Aug 10, 1:00 PM UTC | correct | — |
| Aug 10 | San Francisco | NO RAIN | 89% | Aug 9, 1:00 PM UTC | correct | — |
| Aug 4 | San Francisco | NO RAIN | 87% | Aug 3, 1:00 PM UTC | incorrect | $5 |